BTC / USD · Probability Engine v1.0

Read the market
before it speaks.

Fifteen technical indicators, one ensemble probability. Probability Matrix recomputes the bull/bear bias of Bitcoin every minute, directly in your browser. No accounts. No noise. Just signal.

Open the matrix How it works
0Indicators
0Days lookback
0Refresh cycle
BTC $94,182 +1.42% RSI(14) 58.2 MACD +124 STOCH%K 84.1 SMA50 $91,408 SMA200 $78,221 BB%B 0.74 ADX 32.1 ATR $1,840 OBV +8.4% MFI 61.3 CCI +118 WILLR −18.2 ROC(10) +2.84% EMA12/26 +0.81%
01

An ensemble, not an oracle.

No single indicator is right. We weight fifteen of them and let the weight of evidence speak.

i.

Fifteen signals.
One verdict.

Momentum, mean-reversion, trend, volatility, and money-flow indicators run in parallel — each casting a weighted vote.

  • RSI
  • MACD
  • Bollinger
  • ADX
  • OBV
  • +10
ii.

Probability,
not prediction.

The output is a calibrated bull / bear split with a confidence reading — so you know how much weight to put on it.

  • 0–100% scale
  • HIGH / MED / LOW
iii.

Browser-native.
Yours alone.

Computation happens client-side. No keys, no accounts, no telemetry. Your reading never leaves your machine.

  • Zero backend
  • Open-source math
02

Every indicator,
plain on the page.

Each card shows the live value, signal direction, plain-English interpretation, and contribution weight to the final probability.

03

Three steps,
top to bottom.

  1. 01

    Ingest

    Pull 365 days of daily OHLC and volume for BTC/USD from CoinGecko. Cached locally, refreshed each minute.

  2. 02

    Aggregate

    Run all fifteen indicator computations. Each emits a directional vote and a strength score normalised to [0, 1].

  3. 03

    Project

    Sum the weighted votes, normalise to a probability, surface the verdict — Strong Bull, Lean Bull, Neutral, Lean Bear, Strong Bear.

0

Signals computed since launch

Every cycle adds fifteen more — and every cycle is yours to read.

The matrix
is open.

No sign-up. No card. Just open the dashboard and read the bias.

Open Probability Matrix
Indicators recomputed in your browser · CoinGecko market data · Not financial advice
probability-matrix · /btc
64%
36%
04

Frequently asked.

Is this financial advice?

No. The matrix surfaces the consensus of fifteen well-known technical indicators. It is a viewing tool, not a recommendation. Past indicator behavior does not predict future returns.

How do you compute the probability?

Every indicator emits a direction (bull / bear / neutral) and a strength in [0, 1]. The probability is the bull-weighted sum divided by total weight, clipped to [0, 100%].

Where does the price data come from?

CoinGecko's free public market data API. We pull 365 days of daily closes and volumes for BTC/USD. No authentication required.

Does anything leave my browser?

No. The matrix runs entirely client-side. There is no backend, no logging, no analytics on user-level data.

Can I use this for other assets?

Currently the matrix is BTC/USD only. ETH and major majors are next on the roadmap.